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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies face off on Monday at Citi Field for game one of their series. The Phillies are -120 favorites over the Mets with an over/under run total set at 7.
The New York Mets had a rough weekend with the Tigers in town and overall it has been a tough season and the Mets have struggled often. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 26-36 at home this season, and they are 19 games back in the NL East. As a team, the Mets are hitting .239 with David Wright hitting .309, Josh Satin hitting .298, and Marlon Byrd hitting .283. The Mets pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79 with the starters at 3.73 and the bullpen at 3.89. For game one against the Phillies, the Mets start Zach Wheeler, who has won his last two decisions. For the season Wheeler has allowed 64 hits and 27 earned runs while striking out 62 over 69.2 innings for a 6-2 record and a 3.49 ERA.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing some of their best baseball of the season and they have been awfully tough to put away. The Phillies are 6-4 in their last 10 games, 24-40 on the road this season, and they are 19 games back in the NL East. As a team the Phillies are hitting .248 with Carlos Ruiz hitting .284, Chase Utley hitting .274, and Darin Ruf hitting .272. As a team the Phillies pitching staff has an ERA of 4.28, with the starters at 4.30 and the bullpen at 4.24. For game one against the Mets, the Phillies start Cliff Lee, who has lost his last four decisions. For the season Lee has allowed 153 hits and 60 earned runs while striking out 157 over 170.2 innings for a 10-6 record and a 3.16 ERA.
New York is 6-2 in their last eight games against a team with a losing record, 7-3 in their last 10 game one of a series, and 8-1 in Wheeler’s last nine starts. Philadelphia is 3-7 in their last 10 games following a win, 7-20 in their last 27 road games, and 1-5 in Lee’s last six starts. Philadelphia is 7-2 in their last nine games in New York.
I don’t expect much scoring here and my pick is going to be on the under.

Pick
Under 7

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies face off on Saturday at Citi Field for game two of their series. The Phillies are -117 favorites over the Mets with an over/under run total set at 7.
The New York Mets have played some decent baseball in spots this season but there was no evidence of that on Friday as they were bombed by the Phillies. David Wright had two hits including a home run, Marlon Byrd homered, and Ike Davis and John Buck each had two hits as the Mets scored eight runs on 12 hits. Starting pitcher Jeremy Hefner had nothing as he allowed 10 hits and eight runs, all earned, while striking out three and lasting just two innings to take the loss and fall to 4-7 on the season. For Saturday’s game the Mets start Zack Wheeler who has won his last two starts. For the season Wheeler has allowed 24 hits and 11 earned runs while striking out 21 over 28 innings for a 3-1 record and a 3.54 ERA.
The Philadelphia Phillies came out of the break swinging as they buried the Mets early and never looked back. Michael Young, Chase Utley, and Domonic Brown all had home runs as the Phillies scored 13 runs on 15 hits. Starting pitcher Kyle Kendrick was in cruise control as he allowed nine hits and six runs while striking out seven over 5.2 innings to get the win and go to 9-6 on the season. For Saturday’s game the Phillies start Cole Hamels who has won his last two decisions. For the season Hamels has allowed 124 hits and 58 runs while striking out 118 over 129 innings for a 4-11 record and a 4.05 ERA.
New York is 10-24 in their last 34 home games, 15-36 in their last 51 games as a home underdog, and 7-21 in their last 28 home games against a team with a losing road record. Philadelphia is 7-2 in their last nine games overall, 4-0 in their last four games against a right-handed starter, and 2-5 in Hamels last seven road starts. Philadelphia has won seven in a row at Citi Field.
The Mets were crushed on Friday but look for them to bounce back here as they seem to get to Hamels often.

Pick
New York Mets +107 Philadelphia Phillies

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies close out their NL East weekend series as they meet on Sunday for the rubber match. The Nationals are -156 favorites over the Phillies with an over/under run total set at 6.5.
The Washington Nationals haven’t looked like the playoff team they were a year ago but despite losing Saturday they still have plenty of time to get some positive momentum going. On Saturday Adam LaRoche had two hits include a home run, Denard Span had three hits, and Bryce harper had a hit as the Nationals scored three runs on 11 hits. Starting pitcher Dan Haren allowed four hits and three earned runs while striking out 10 over 6.0 innings but didn’t factor in the decision as Drew Storen took the loss to fall to 0-1 on the year. For Sunday’s game the Nationals start Stephen Strasburg who has been a tough luck loser several times this season. For the year Strasburg has allowed 51 hits and 19 earned runs while striking out 62 over 64.1 innings for a 2-5 record and a 2.66 ERA.
The Philadelphia Phillies continue to gain positive momentum as they got the win on Saturday in Washington. Dominic Brown had two hits including a home run, Erik Kratz had a hit, and Jimmy Rollins and Delmon Young had hits as the Phillies scored five runs on six hits. Starting pitcher Jonathan Pttibone allowed nine hits and three earned runs while striking out six over 6.0 innings but didn’t factor in the decision as Chad Durbin got the win to go to 1-0 and Jonathan Papelbon earned his ninth save. For Sunday’s game the Phillies start Cole Hamels who is having an awful season after signing a big contract. For the season Hamels has allowed 56 hits and 31 earned runs while striking out 57 over 62.2 innings for a 1-7 record and a 4.45 ERA.
Washington is 7-4 in their last 11 home games, 8-4 in their last 12 home games against a team with a losing record. Philadelphia is 12-5 in their last 17 games against the NL East, 6-2 in their last eight road games as an underdog of +110 to +150, and they are 1-4 in Hamels last five road starts. Philadelphia is 2-5 in the last seven meetings of these two.
We have two pitchers who haven’t had much lick but bad luck and both are just better than their records indicate but right now the Phillies are playing better baseball so getting them at this nice price is worth taking a shot on as Hamels should come around sooner rather than later.

Pick
Philadelphia Phillies +146 Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies face off on Friday in Washington in game one of the NL East series. The Nationals are -170 favorites over the Phillies with an over/under run total set at 7.
The Washington Nationals return home from the West Coast in hopes of closing the gap on the leaders in the National League East. The Nationals are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 12-9 at home this season, and are 4.5 games behind the Braves in the NL East. As a team the Nationals are hitting .225 with Bryce Harper hitting .288, Ian Desmond hitting .269, and Denard Span hitting .266. The Nationals opponents are hitting .251 and the Washington pitching staff has an ERA of 3.53. For game one against the Phillies the Nationals start Jordan Zimmerman who has been the best pitcher on the Washington staff this season. For the year Zimmerman has allowed 49 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out 45 over 66.2 innings for a 7-2 record and a 1.62 ERA.
The Philadelphia Phillies got off to a miserable start and it looked like this just wasn’t their year but they have picked it up of late and appear to be making a move in the standings. The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 12-12 on the road this season, and they are 5.5 games back and in third place in the National League East. As a team the Phillies are hitting .249 with Michael Young hitting .287, Chase Utley hitting .272, Jimmy Rollins hitting .264, and Ryan Howard hitting .263. The Phillies opponents are hitting .250 and the Philadelphia pitching staff has an ERA of 4.14. For game one in Washington the Phillies start Kyle Kendrick who lost last time out for the first time since the first week of April. For the season Kendrick has allowed 56 hits and 19 earned runs while striking out 41 over 60.2 innings for a 4-2 record and a 2.82 ERA.
The Nationals are 6-2 in their last eight home games against a right-handed starter, 1-4 in their last five games overall, and 21-7 in Zimmerman’s last 28 starts. Philadelphia is 4-1 in their last five road games, 11-4 against the NL East, and 6-1 in Kendrick’s last seven starts. Philadelphia is 1-4 in the last five meetings of these two.
We have two pitchers who are pitching well and two teams playing well I’m going with the under.

Pick
Under 7

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds meet on Friday in Philadelphia for game one of their series. The Phillies are -121 favorites over the Reds with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Philadelphia Phillies have struggled in the early part of the season but despite their poor play they are very much in the thick of things in the NL East race. The Phillies are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 9-11 at home this season, and 3.5 games behind the Braves in the NL East standings. As a team the Phillies are hitting .246 with Michael Young hitting.296, Chase Utley is hitting .281, and Jimmy Rollins is hitting .255. The Phillies opponents are hitting .245 and the Philadelphia pitching staff has an ERA of 4.20. For game one against the Reds the Phillies start Cliff Lee who has won his last two starts. For the season Lee has allowed 52 hits and 18 earned runs while striking out 43 over 56.2 innings for a 4-2 record and a 2.86 ERA.
The Cincinnati Reds have won six games in a row as they continue to chase the Cardinals in the NL Central standings. The Reds are 8-2 in their last 10 games, 9-10 on the road this season, and they are 1.5 games back in the National League Central standings. As a team the Reds are hitting .251 with Joey Votto hitting .325, Shin-Soo Choo hiting .322, and Brandon Phillips hitting .285. The Reds opponents are hitting .243 and the Cincinnati pitching staff has an ERA of 3.45. For game one at Philadelphia the Reds start Tony Cingrani who has no decisions in his last two starts. For the season Cingrani has allowed 20 hits and nine earned runs while striking out 37 over 28 innings for a 2-0 record and a 2.89 ERA.
Philadelphia is 13-5 in their last 18 home games against a left-handed starter, 2-6 in their last eight games as a home favorite, and 0-4 in Lee’s last four starts as a favorite. Cincinnati is 6-0 n their last six road games, 4-1 in the last five game one of a series, and 4-1 in Cingrani’s last five starts. Cincinnati is 7-19 in their last 26 games in Philadelphia.
I look for runs to be tough to come by and for this game to go under the total.

Pick
Under 7.5

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Indians

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cleveland Indians face off on Wednesday in Philadelphia for game two of their interleague series. The Phillies are -168 favorites over the Indians with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Philadelphia Phillies are used to being the hunted in the National League East but this year they are clearly the hunters and with Tuesday’s win they continue to quietly work their way up the standings. Dominic Brown had two hits including a home run, Kevin Frandsen hit a home run, and John Mayberry had three hits as the Phillies scored six runs on 10 hits. Starting pitcher Jonathan Pettibone allowed four hits and two runs while striking out three over 6.2 innings to get the win and go to 3-0 for the season. For Wednesday afternoon’s game the Phillies start Cole Hamels who has lost three of his last four starts. For the season Hamels has allowed 43 hits and 24 earned runs while striking out 43 over 51.2 innings for a 1-5 record and a 4.18 ERA.
The Cleveland Indians have been one of the hotter teams in baseball but they were cooled off on Tuesday by the Phillies. Nick Swisher had two hits and Carlos Santana and Asdrubal Cabrera had hits as the Indians scored two runs on seven hits. Starting pitcher Scott Kazmir allowed six hits and four runs while striking gout three over 5.0 innings to take the loss and fall to 2-2 on the year. On Wednesday Cleveland starts Corey Kluber who has lost his last two starts. For the season Kluber has allowed 28 hits and 14 earned runs while striking out 20 over 22.1 innings for a 2-2 record and a 5.64 ERA.
Philadelphia is 2-6 in their last eight interleague games, 3-5 in their last eight home games, and 2-7 in Hamels’ last nine interleague starts. Cleveland is 5-11 in their last 16 interleague games against a left handed starter, 3-10 in their last 13 against the NL East, and 4-11 in Kluber’s last 15 starts.
I expect to see some offense and not sure if either of these pitchers get a decision but I give the Phillies just a slight edge in a pick.

Pick
Philadelphia Phillies -168 Cleveland Indians

Cleveland Indians vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Cleveland Indians and the Philadelphia Phillies face off on Wednesday in Cleveland for game two of their series. The Phillies are -151 favorites over the Indians with an over/under run total set at 7.5.
The Cleveland Indians haven’t had a great year thus far but on Tuesday they got the bats rolling crushing the visiting Phillies. Ryan Raburn hit two home runs and Michael Brantley, Carlos Santana, Mark Reynolds, Lonnie Chisenhall, and Drew Stubbs all hit home runs as the Indians scored 14 runs on 17 hits. Starting pitcher Zach McAllister was in cruise control as he allowed five hits and two earned runs while striking out four over seven innings to get the win and go to 2-3 on the year. For Wednesday’s game Cleveland starts Trevor Bauer who makes his second start of the year. For the season Bauer has allowed two hits and three earned runs while striking out two and walking seven over five innings of work for an 0-1 record and a 5.40 ERA.
It was over practically before it really got started for the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday as they were blasted by the Indians. Delmon Young had two hits including a home run, Chase Utley homered, and John Mayberry had a hit as the Phillies scored two run on five hits. On the mound starting pitcher Roy Halladay allowed nine hits and eight earned runs while striking out three over 3.2 innings to take the loss and fall to 2-3 on the year. For Wednesday’s game Philadelphia starts Cliff Lee who played many years in Cleveland. For the season Lee has allowed 32 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out 30 over 35.2 innings of work for a 2-1 record and a 3.03 ERA.
Cleveland is 15-31 against a team with a losing record, 21-47 in their last 68 games as an underdog, and 2-9 in their last 11 games against the NL East, Philadelphia is 2-6 in their last eight games as a favorite, 1-5 in their last six interleague games, and 1-6 in Lee’s last seven starts as a favorite. Philadelphia is 4-2 in the last six meetings of these two.
I expect to see plenty of hitting in this one despite the pitching match up and my pick is on the over.

Pick
Over 7.5

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies meet on Saturday in Miami for game two of their series. The Phillies are -145 favorites over the Marlins with an over/under run total set at 7.
The Miami Marlins are struggling this season and things didn’t get any better for them as they lost in extra innings on Friday. Placido Polanco had two hits, Juan Pierre had a hit, and Justin Ruggiano reached base twice on walks as the Marlins scored just one run on four hits. On the mound Ricky Nolasco allowed seven hits and a run while striking out one over six innings to not factor in the decision as Jon Rauch allowed three hits and two runs in the 10th inning to take the loss. For Saturday’s game Miami starts Jose Fernandez who had a no decision in his first outing. In his first outing of his career Fernandez allowed three hits and a run while striking out eight over five innings of work.
The Philadelphia Phillies aren’t looking like a contender so far this season but they got back to .500 with a win on Friday. Ryan Howard, Ben Revere, and Dominic Brown each had two hits as the Phillies scored three runs on 10 hits in all. On the mound John Lannan allowed three hits and a run while striking out two over six innings to not factor in the decision as Phillippe Aumont got the win and Jonathan Papelbon earned his second save of the year. For Saturday’s game Philadelphia goes with Cole Hamels who is still looking for his first win of the year. For the season Hamels has allowed 16 hits and 13 runs while striking out seven over 10.2 innings for a 10.97 ERA.
Miami is 16-36 in their last 52 games overall, 21-48 in their last 69 games as an underdog, and 0-5 in their last five home games. Philadelphia is 5-2 in their last seven Saturday games, 2-4 in their last six road games, and 5-2 in Hamels’ last seven road starts. Philadelphia is 6-1 in the last seven meetings of these two.
I’m not expecting much offense in this one and I have it staying under the total.

Pick
Under 7

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies face off on Thursday in Atlanta in game three of their season opening series. The Braves are -130 favorites over the Phillies with an over/under point total set at 7.
In their first two games of the season the Atlanta Braves have made a statement pounding the Philadelphia pitching staff. On Wednesday Justin Upton, Jason Heyward, and Evan Gattis all hit home runs as the Braves scored nine runs on nine hits in the route. Paul Maholm allowed six hits and struck out six over 5.2 innings to get the win as the Braves used four other pitchers to close it out. For Thursday’s game Atlanta starts Kris Medlen who was outstanding last season. Last year Medlen went 10-1 with a 1.57 ERA while allowing 103 hits and striking out 120 over 138 innings of work.
For the second straight game the Philadelphia Phillies fell behind early on Wednesday but this time they were never able to catch up. Jimmy Rollins and Dominic Brown each had two hits and Chase Utley and Michael Young each had hits as the Phillies scored two runs on nine hits. Starting pitcher Roy Halladay was shelled allowing six hits and five runs while striking out nine over 3.1 innings of work to take the loss and Jonathan Papelbon looked less than inspiring in his first work of the year allowing two hits and two runs including a home run. For Thursday’s game Philadelphia starts Cliff Lee who had a tough luck season in 2012. Last year Lee was 6-9 with a 3.16 ERA as he allowed 207 hits and 74 earned runs while striking out 207 in 211 innings of work.
Atlanta is 27-10 in their last 37 home games, 15-6 in their last 21 games overall, and 25-2 in Medlen’s last 27 starts. Philadelphia is 9-4 in their last 13 games as an underdog, 1-5 in their last six games against a team with a winning record, and 15-4 in Lee’s last 19 road starts against a team with a winning record. Philadelphia is 2-6 in their last eight games in Atlanta.
From what we have seen from the Phillies in the first two games there isn’t any way I can take them to beat Medlen here and while they have the talent to compete I will need to see them show it on the field first.

Pick
Atlanta Braves -130 Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet on Monday for game one of their series of bottom feeders in the NL East.  The Phillies are -155 favorites over the Marlins with an over/under run total set at 8.5 runs.

The expectations were high for the Philadelphia Phillies but they didn’t translate into results as for the first time in several seasons the Phillies will be on the outside looking in at the MLB postseason. The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 games, 34-37 at home this season, and they are 17.5 games back in the NL East. As a team the Phillies are hitting .255 with Kevin Frandsen hitting .336, Juan Pierre hitting .305, and Erik Kratz hitting .270. As a team the Phillies pitching staff has an ERA of 3.96 with the starters at 3.79 and the bullpen at 4.39. For game one against Marlins Philadelphia starts Kyle Kendrick who lost last time out to end a personal four game winning streak. For the season Kendrick has allowed 131 hits and 58 earned runs while striking out 93 over 131.2 innings of work for a 3.96 ERA.

The Miami Marlins loaded up this past offseason in hopes of making the post season but instead they are in the basement of the National League East. The Marlins are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 31-41 on the road this season, and they are 23.5 games out in the division. As a team the Marlins are hitting .246 with Giancarlo Stanton hitting .286, Jose Reyes hitting .282, and Austin Kearns hitting .248. As a team the Marlins pitching staff has an ERA of 4.18 with the starters at 4.20 and the bullpen at 4.15. For game one against the Phillies Miami starts Wade LeBlanc who has been alternating between starting and the bullpen this season. For the year LeBlanc has allowed 51 hits and 16 earned runs while striking out 32 over 53 innings for a 2.72 ERA.

Philadelphia is 7-2 in their last nine games overall, 8-0 in their last eight home games against a left handed starter, and 4-1 in Kendrick’s last five starts. Miami is 4-1 in their last five road games against a right handed starter, 2-5 in their last seven games against the NL East, and 2-6 in their last eight games against a team with a losing record. Miami has won six of the last eight meetings of these two.

These are two bad an inconsistent teams so the play is on the value and that is on Miami.

Pick

Miami Marlins +135 Philadelphia Phillies

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