College Football
Baylor Bears vs. UCLA Bruins
December 27, 2012 | 
Author The high flying offenses of the Baylor Bears and the UCLA Bruins take the field in the Holiday Bowl. The Bruins are -1 point favorites over the Bears with an over/under point total set at 74.5.
Robert Griffin might be gone but you wouldn’t know it by looking at the numbers Baylor has put up. The best offense in the game that racked up 579 yards and 44 points behind the #3 air attack and #19 ground game. In other words, the Bears had zero problem doing what they wanted, when they wanted. Nick Florence was no RG III but he did a pretty good impression of the former star by completing 61.2% of his throws for 4121 yards with 31 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Terrance Williams was the star of the receiving corps with 95 catches for 1764 yards and 12 scores with Tevin Reese (51-889), Lanear Sampson (51-639) and Levi Norwood (39-477) giving the offense plenty of options. The rushing attack had just as many choices with Lache Seastrunk (115-874), Glasco Martin (158-791), Florence (121-531) and Jarred Salubi (108-407) giving Baylor stacks of yards. The Bears needed just about every point they could muster with the defense near last with 514 yards and 38 points allowed.
UCLA had the PAC 12 championship in the bag except for one problem; Stanford who defeated the Bruins in successive weeks. UCLA still won the PAC 12 South thanks to an offense that was no stranger to the end zone and a defense that more than held their own. The attack was ranked #20 with at 475 yards and 35 points that was able to run and throw effectively. Brent Hundley (292-428/3411) was deadly efficient with 26 touchdowns against eleven picks on 68.2% completion rate. Shaquelle Evans (53-795) and Joseph Fauria (40-561) might have been the top receivers but this passing game was the very definition of spreading the ball around with nine others totaling between 133-319 yards. The rushing game didn’t have near as many options but needed just one in Jonathan Franklin who churned out 1701 yards on 268 totes with 13 touchdowns. The Bruins also played some defense with 410 yards turning in to just 26 points so this group had some bend but don’t break qualities.
There should be points aplenty in one of the more interesting match ups where the punters won’t see too much action. Even though both teams could score in the 40′s, UCLA plays more defense and gets my vote.
Pick
UCLA Bruins -1 Baylor Bears
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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners
The TCU Horned Frogs and the Oklahoma Sooners face off on Saturday in Ft. Worth as they close out their regular season Big 12 schedules. The Sooners are -8 point favorites over the Horned Frogs with an over/under point total set at 63.
The TCU Horned Frogs are finishing off their first season as a member of the Big 12 and while it was somewhat of a rebuilding year Gary Patterson’s team showed themselves well. Trevone Boykin has completed 59.1 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions and he has rushed for 344 yards and two touchdowns. B.J. Catalon is averaging 4.9 yards per carry and he has 21 catches and Matthew Tucker is averaging 4.4 yards per carry with five touchdowns. Josh Boyce has 56 catches and seven touchdowns, Brandon Carter has 33 catches and five touchdowns, and Skye Dawson has 31 catches. The TCU defense is allowing 23 points per game, 97.3 rushing yards, and 226.6 passing yards with 20 interceptions and 26 sacks. Joel Hasley has 68 tackles, Kenny Cain has 65 tackles, Devonte Fields has nine sacks, and Jason Verrett has six interceptions. TCU is coming off of a big road win at Texas and a win against Oklahoma would make their season.
The Oklahoma Sooners once again put together a solid season but once again it has somewhat fallen short of expectations and is disappointing. Landry Jones has completed 66.4 percent of his passes with 27 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Damien Williams is averaging 5.6 yards per carry with 10 touchdowns and he has 25 catches out of the backfield and Brennan Clay has a 6.0 yard per carry average and six touchdowns. Kenny Stills has 73 catches and 11 touchdowns, Justin Brown has 62 catches and four touchdowns, and Jalen Saunders has 46 catches and two touchdowns. The OU defense is allowing 24.8 points per game, 186.7 rushing yards, and 194.6 passing yards with 12 interceptions and 23 sacks. Tony Harris has 105 tackles, Javon Harris has 71 tackles and five interceptions, and Aaron Colvin and Demontre Hurst have 49 tackles each. When Oklahoma looks back at this season it is obvious it has been the defense which simply hasn’t been good enough.
TCU is 3-13 against the spread following a game which they covered the spread, 0-4 against the spread following a win, and 0-7 against the spread in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Oklahoma is 13-6 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 0-4 against the spread following a win.
Oklahoma’s defense hasn’t been good enough to distance themselves from the even decent offenses and I don’t see the Sooners being able to put the Frogs away here with a cover.
Pick
TCU Horned Frogs +8 Oklahoma Sooners
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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
The Georgia Bulldogs and the Alabama Crimson Tide face off on Saturday in the Georgia Dome in the SEC Championship game with a trip to the BCS National Championship going to the winner. The Crimson Tide are -8 point favorites over the Bulldogs with an over/under point total set 51.
The Georgia Bulldogs have navigated their way through their regular season schedule with just one loss but the knock on Mark Richt’s team will be that they didn’t face the toughest teams in the SEC this year missing most of them on their schedule. Georgia didn’t play LSU, Alabama, nor Texas A&M but UGA get a chance to prove themselves here. Aaron Murray has completed 66.6 percent of his passes with 30 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Todd Gurley is averaging 6.5 yards per carry for 1,138 yards and 14 touchdowns and Keith Marshall is averaging 6.7 yards per carry with eight touchdowns. Malcolm Mitchell has 36 catches and four touchdowns, Tavarres King has 24 catches and eight touchdowns, and Marlon Brown has 27 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively Georgia is allowing 17.7 points per game, 163.4 rushing yards, and 174.4 passing yards with 10 interceptions and 24 sacks. Alec Ogletree has 87 tackles, Shawn Williams has 78 tackles, and Jarvis Jones has 71 tackles and 10.5 sacks. Georgia will be making their second trip in a row to the SEC Championship and they are hoping for better results than last year when they lost to LSU.
The Alabama Crimson Tide were ranked number one for most of the season but after a late season stumble against Texas A&M they finished ranked second. Nick Saban’s team is looking to make it back to back National Championships but first they need to win this one to even get to that game where they would face Notre Dame. A.J. McCarron has completed 67.2 percent of his passes with 25 touchdowns and two interceptions. Eddie Lacy averages 6.1 yards per carry with 14 touchdowns and T.J. Yeldon is averaging 6.6 yards per carry with 10 touchdowns. Amari Cooper has 45 catches and eight touchdowns, Kevin Norwood has 26 catches and four touchdowns, and Christion Jones has 24 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively Alabama has been rock solid allowing 9.2 points per game, 77 rushing yards, and 156.7 passing yards with 16 interceptions and 30 sacks. C.J. Mosley has 92 tackles, Trey Depriest and Nico Johnson each have 52 tackles, and Vinnie Sunseri has 51 tackles. Alabama was in the championship a year ago but most of these players weren’t on the roster or starting.
Georgia is 4-1 against the spread following a win, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven neutral site games, and 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall. Alabama is 6-0 against the spread in their last six neutral site games, 12-5 against the spread in their last 17 SEC games, and 1-4 against the spread against a team with a winning record.
The total in this one is set at 51 but that looks to be a bit too high as this should belong to the defense and the kickers.
Pick
Under 51
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Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineers
The Oklahoma Sooners and the West Virginia Mountaineers face off on Sunday in Anaheim in college basketball action. The Sooners are -1 point favorites over the Mountaineers with an over/under point total set at 134.
The Oklahoma Sooners knocked off UTEP in Thursday which was their third win in a row to start the season but they ran into a buzz saw on Friday when they were outright stomped by Gonzaga. Lon Kruger’s team is still trying to find out where they stand this year and this game should give them a true reading as they were clearly in over their heads against the Zags. As a team Oklahoma is averaging 65.8 points, 11.8 assists, and they are shooting 39.7 percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 60.8 points, 9.8 assists, and their opponents are shooting 41 percent. Romero Osby is averaging 12 points and 8.2 assists, Steven Pledger is averaging 11.2 points, and Amath M;Baye is averaging 8.0 points and 6.2 rebounds. Oklahoma looked tired and defenseless on Friday but they need to gear up for what should be a physical war here.
The West Virginia Mountaineers were also losers on Friday as they fell to Davidson by three. Bob Huggins’ team looked to be on solid ground on Thursday beating a decent Marist team but they had no answer for Davidson. As a team WVU is averaging 65.7 points per game, 12 assists, and they are shooting 41 percent while defensively they are allowing 63.7 points, 12.3 assists, and their opponents are shooting 42.4 percent. Aaric Murray is averaging 10 points and 5.7 rebounds, Jabarie Hinds is averaging 9.3 points, and Deniz Kilicli is averaging 7.0 points and 7.0 rebounds. I am not sure which West Virginia team is going to show up but it appears this looks to be a down year in Morgantown.
Oklahoma is 1-4 against the spread in their last five neutral site games, 1-5 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 6-14 against the spread against the Big 12. West Virginia is 7-2 against the spread against the Big 12, 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 1-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record.
I like the Mountaineers here get the one point.
Pick
West Virginia Mountaineers +1 Oklahoma Sooners
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Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. St. Mary’s Gaels
The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and the St, Mary’s Gaels face off on Sunday in college basketball action. The Gaels are -5 point favorites over the Yellow Jackets with an over/under point total set at 124.
The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets started the season at 3-0 but on Friday they just didn’t have enough to hold down Cal. Brian Gregory’s team is focusing on defense and they are playing it well which should give them chances to win games. As a team Georgia Tech is averaging 60.5 points, 12 assists, and they are shooting 41.9 percent while defensively they are allowing 50.8 points, 10 assists, and their opponents are shooting 37.2 percent. Kammeon Holsey is averaging 12 points and 5.5 rebounds, Marcus Georges-Hunt is averaging 11.5 points and 6.2 rebounds, and Mfon Udofia is averaging 10 points. Georgia Tech ounds the boards and plays defense and while it doesn’t look pretty it is usually an effective style of play.
The St. Mary’s Gaels are coming off of a tough loss where they were upset by Pacific. St. Mary’s has become a regular in the NCAA Tournament and they look to have a team that can get there once again. As a team St. Mary’s is averaging 77.8 points, 13.8 assists, and they are shooting 49.5 percent from the floor while defensively they are allowing 6.6 points, 11.2 assists, and their opponents are shooting 41.5 percent. Matthew Dellavedova is averaging 19.6 points and 4.2 assists, Stephen Holt is averaging 13 points and 4.6 rebounds, Brad Waldow is averaging 10.8 points and 5.6 rebounds, and James Walker III is averaging 10 points. St. Mary’s is battle tested and as a strong core of Australian imports.
Georgia Tech is 1-4 against the spread in their last five neutral site games, 7-17-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 2-5 against the spread in their last seven Sunday games. St. Mary’s is 35-17-1 against the spread in their last 53 non-conference games, 6-13 against the spread following a double digit loss, and 5-2 against the spread following a loss.
This should be a tight game but look for Georgia Tech to keep it close enough to at least cover.
Pick
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +5 St. Mary Gael’s
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Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Davidson Wildcats
The Gonzaga Bulldogs and the Davidson Wildcats face off on Sunday in college basketball action in Anaheim. The Bulldogs are -7.5 point favorites over the Wildcats with an over/under point total set at 142.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are off and running this season as they are coming off of a blowout win against Oklahoma. Mark Few cleared his bench but the Zags were still scoring big late as they whipped the Sooners by 25. For the year Gonzaga is averaging 82.4 points, 15.8 assists, and they are shooting 51.8 percent. Defensively Gonzaga is allowing 53.8 points, 9.2 assists, and their opponents shoot 34.6 percent. Elias Harris is averaging 14 points and 9.0 rebounds, Gary Bell is averaging 10.2 points, Sam Dower is averaging 10 points and 5.2 rebounds, and Kevin Pangos is averaging 10 points and 3.6 assists. Gonzaga looks like they are going to be one of the better teams in the nation this season.
The Davidson Wildcats aren’t going to be sneaking up on anyone anymore as they have shown they can play with anyone. Davidson knocked off West Virginia on Friday night to set up this match up. As a team Davidson is averaging 76 points, 15.2 assists, and they are shooting 44.8 percent while defensively they are allowing 69.6 points, 8.2 assists, and their opponents are shooting 40.9 percent. De’Mon Brooks is averaging 18.2 points and 5.6 rebounds, Jake Cohen is averaging 11 points and 5.2 rebounds, and Chris Czerapowicz is averaging 11 points. Davidson took two losses earlier this year but they have shown up this past week.
Gonzaga is 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games overall, 4-1 against the spread following a win, and 7-2 against the spread in their last nine neutral site games. Davidson is 3-8-1 against the spread in their last 12 non-conference games and 8-2-1 against the spread in their last 11 Sunday games.
The line here seems to be on the high side but Gonzaga is just too much for Davidson here and the Zags win easily and get the cover.
Pick
Gonzaga Bulldogs -7.5 Davidson Wildcats
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Iowa St. Cyclones. vs. West Virginia Mountaineers
The Iowa State Cyclones and the West Virginia Mountaineers face off on Friday in Big 12 college football action. The Mountaineers are -1 point favorites over the Cyclones with an over/under point total set at 60.
The Iowa State Cyclones are bowl eligible and after many had very modest expectations for them ISU has once again proved many wrong. Steele Jantz has completed 62.2 percent of his passes with 13 touchdowns and 11 interceptions while rushing for 210 yards and a touchdown. Shontrelle Johnson is averaging 4.5 yards per carry with two touchdowns and James White is averaging 5.4 yards per carry with two touchdowns. Aaron Horne leads ISU with 38 catches and three touchdowns, Chris Young has 35 catches and two touchdowns, and Jarvis West has 27 catches and three touchdowns. Defensively Iowa State is allowing 22.6 points per game, 158.5 rushing yards, and 283.6 passing yards with 13 interceptions and 14 sacks. A.J. Klein has 84 tackles, Jake Knott has 79 tackles, and Durrell Givens has 76 tackles. Iowa State has won the games they should win but haven’t stepped it up against the better teams.
The West Virginia Mountaineers started the season by winning their first five games and while they have been involved in some good ones they haven’t won since and still aren’t bowl eligible. Geno Smith has completed 70.1 percent of his passes for 35 touchdowns and five interceptions while rushing for two touchdowns. Andrew Buie is averaging 4.4 yards per carry with six touchdowns carrying the load in the WVU backfield. Tavon Austin has 100 catches and 11 touchdowns and he has also rushed for two touchdowns, Stedman Bailey has 88 catches and 20 touchdowns, and J.D. Woods has 46 catches and three touchdowns. The West Virginia defense has been a sieve allowing 42.3 points per game, 131.9 rushing yards, and 366.1 passing yards with eight interceptions and 21 sacks. Isaiah Bruce has 82 tackles, Karl Joseph has 75 tackles, and Terence Garvin has 59 tackles. If West Virginia doesn’t make it to a bowl it will be a very interesting to see what happens in the offseason.
Iowa State is 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five home games, 14-5 against the spread following a win by or more points, and 0-3-1 against the spread following a win. West Virginia is 1-4 against the spread in their last five Big 12 games, 1-5 against the spread following a game which they covered the spread, and 1-4 against the spread against a team with a winning record.
We are going to see some scoring in this one and I have this one going well over the total
Pick
Over 60
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Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers
The Arkansas Razorbacks and the LSU Tigers face off on Friday in their annual college football battle for the Golden Boot. The Tigers are -13.5 point favorites over the Razorbacks with an over/under point total set at 49.
The Arkansas Razorbacks will be closing out a season they would like to forget and it will also likely end the tenure of John L. Smith as Head Coach of the Hogs. Tyler Wilson has had a disappointing year as well completing 62.5 percent of his passes with 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Dennis Johnson is averaging 5.5 yards per carry with eight touchdowns while catching 20 passes for two more touchdowns and Knile Davis is averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Cobi Hamilton leads the Arkansas receivers with 80 catches and five touchdowns, Chris Gragg has 22 catches and three touchdowns, Mekale McKay has 19 catches. Defensively Arkansas allows 30.5 points per game, 127.3 rushing yards, and 292.1 passing yards with six interceptions and 28 sacks. Ross Rasner has 79 tackles, Rohan Gaines has 72 tackles, and Alonzo Highsmith has 54 tackles. Arkansas is easily one of the most disappointing teams in the nation but a win here would at least give them some momentum to bring into the offseason.
The LSU Tigers have two losses this season but the expectation is that they will still go to a very good bowl game as their only two losses are to Florida and Alabama, both teams ranked in the top five in the BCS. Zach Mettenberger has completed 59 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. LSU likes to mix it up in the backfield with several backs getting significant time with Jeremy Hill averaging 4.9 yards per carry with nine touchdowns, Kenny Hilliard averaging 5.8 yards per carry with six touchdowns, and Spencer Ware averaging 4.1 yards per carry. Jarvis Landry leads the LSU receivers with 44 catches and three touchdowns, Odell Beckham Jr. has 36 catches and two touchdowns, and Kadron Boone has 24 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively LSU is allowing 17.3 points per game, 101.7 rushing yards, and 179.4 passing yards with 17 interceptions and 29 sacks. Kevin Minter has 101 tackles, Lamin Barrow has 80 tackles, and Sam Montgomery has seven sacks. LSU has an outside chance of making it to the SEC title game and still is in the mix for a BCS bowl game but they need some help.
Arkansas is 21-8 against the spread in their last 29 home games, 0-7 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 2-6 against the spread in their last eight SEC games. LSU is 7-2 against the spread in their last nine road games, 6-2 against the spread in their last eight road games against a team with a losing home record, and 2-7 against the spread after allowing more than 280 passing yards in their previous game. Arkansas has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings of these two.
I like the LSU Tigers to roll in this one and win the game by a large margin.
Pick
LSU Tigers -13.5 Arkansas Razorbacks
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Mississippi St. Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Arkansas Razorbacks face off on Saturday in SEC college football action. The Bulldogs are -6.5 point favorites over the Razorbacks.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs have lost three games in a row and after a perfect and promising start they are reeling in SEC play. Tyler Russell has completed 60.5 percent of his passes with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions while rushing for another two touchdowns. LaDarius Perkins is averaging 5.3 yards per carry with eight touchdowns and Josh Robinson has averaged 5.0 yards per carry with one touchdown. Chad Bumphis leads MSU with 43 catches and eight touchdowns, Chris Smith has 40 catches and two touchdowns, and Arceto Clark has 27 catches. Defensively Mississippi State allows 21.4 points per game, 163.3 rushing yards, and 216 passing yards with 12 interceptions and 16 sacks. Cameron Lawrence has 87 tackles and four sacks, Bernardrick McKinney has 79 tackles, and Nikos Whitley has 71 tackles. Mississippi has shown the ability to dominate the weaker teams but hasn’t been competitive against the better teams.
This is a season they would rather forget for the Arkansas Razorbacks as a top ten preseason ranking is now one loss away from no bowl game this year. Tyler Wilson has completed 60.9 percent of his passes with 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Dennis Johnson is averaging 5.5 yards per carry with eight touchdowns and Knile Davis averages 3.4 yards per carry with two touchdowns. Cobi Hamilton has 73 catches and four touchdowns, Chris Gragg has 22 catches and three touchdowns, and Mekale McKay has 16 catches and a touchdown. Defensively Arkansas allows 30 points per game, 119.7 rushing yards, and 291.1 passing yards with six interceptions and 25 sacks. Ross Rasner has 74 tackles, Rohan Gaines has 63 tackles, and Alonzo Highsmith has 54 tackles. Arkansas is easily among the most disappointing teams in college football this year.
Mississippi State is 4-1 against the spread against a team with a losing record, 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 home games, and 2-6 against the spread following a loss. Arkansas is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven SEC games, 1-8 against the spread in their last nine road games, and 0-6 against the spread against a team with a winning record. The home team has covered the spread in nine of the last 10 meetings of these two.
Arkansas hasn’t been good but I can see them making a stand here and at least covering the spread if not pulling the outright upset.
Pick
Arkansas Razorbacks +6.5 Mississippi St. Bulldogs
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LSU Tigers vs. Mississippi Rebels
The LSU Tigers and the Mississippi Rebels face off on Saturday in Baton Rouge in an SEC college football battle. The Tigers are -20 point favorites over the Rebels.
The LSU Tigers are playing solid football this season but two losses aren’t going to cut it when it comes to winning a championship in the SEC. Zach Mettenberger has competed 58.9 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Jeremy Hill is averaging 5.2 yards per carry with six touchdowns, Kenny Hilliard is averaging 5.9 yards with six touchdowns, Michael Ford is averaging 5.9 yards with three touchdowns, and Spencer Ware is averaging 3.8 yards per carry. Jarvis Landry leads the LSU receivers with 40 catches and three touchdowns, Odell Beckham Jr has 34 catches and two touchdowns, and Kadron Boone has 21 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively LSU allows 15.5 points per game, 97.2 rushing yards, and 165.7 passing yards with 14 interceptions and 26 sacks. Kevin Minter has 90 tackles, three sacks, and an interception, Lamin Barrow has 70 tackles, and Eric Reid has 66 tackles. LSU is playing their best football of the season and are going to be tough to beat from this point forward.
The Ole Miss Rebels are still one win away from being bowl eligible and while it looked like they were going to get the win last Saturday they were unable to hold the lead against Vandy. Bo Wallace has completed 65.6 percent of his passes with 12 touchdowns and 10 interceptions and he has also rushed for six touchdowns. Jeff Scott is averaging 4.5 yards per carry with six touchdowns while catching 18 passes out of the backfield. Donte Moncrief has 47 catches and five touchdowns, Ja-Mes Logan has 32 catches, and Vince Sanders has 29 catches and two touchdowns. Defensively Ole Miss has allowed 27.7 points per game, 142.5 rushing yards, and 243.5 passing yards with 10 interceptions and 30 sacks. Cody Prewitt has 67 tackles, Denzel Nkemdiche has 66 tackles, three sacks, and two interceptions, and Mike Marry has 57 tackles. Ole Miss will be tested once again in this spot.
LSU is 8-3 against the spread following a game whi9ch they covered the spread, 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 SEC games, and 11-5 against the spread following a win. Ole Miss is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games overall, 3-9 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-5 against the spread following a game which they didn’t cover. The road team has covered in 13 of the last 16 meetings of these two.
This is a huge number and while Ole Miss has played spirited football, they are up against it here on Senior Day in Baton Rouge and look for LSU to simply roll in this spot.
Pick
LSU Tigers -20 Mississippi Rebels
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