The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet on Thursday in a SEC college hoops battle. The Crimson Tide are -1 point favorites against the Razorbacks with an over/under point total set at 132.5.
The Arkansas Razorbacks looked like they had a chance to make the field of 68 for the NCAA Tournament but Mike Anderson’s team has lost four of their last five games and those dreams of March Madness are fading fast. Arkansas is 5-7 in the SEC, 17-1 at home, and tied for eighth place in the conference standings. B.J. Young is averaging 15.1 points, Mardracus Wade is averaging 10.4 points, and Rickey Scott is averaging 9.1 points. As a team the Hogs are averaging 72.8 points and they are shooting 43.4 percent while defensively they are allowing 68.7 points and their opponents are shooting 42.4 percent. If Arkansas wins out they still have the possibility to make things interesting but they will need to win two games on the road this season, something they have yet to accomplish.
The Alabama Crimson Tide has had an up and down season but Anthony Grant’s squad has a chance to get into the tournament but if they don’t take care of business they can easily find themselves on the bubble. With the wave of suspensions to the Tide the offensive focus has gone to Andrew Steele, Trevor Lacey, and Trevor Releford as JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell were the two leading scorers on the team. As a team Alabama is averaging 65.4 points and they are shooting 45.1 percent while defensively they are allowing 58.1 points and their opponents are shooting just 38.1 percent. Coach Grant has stuck with his decision on the suspensions but it will be interesting to see if he brings his stars back for the post season.
Arkansas is 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight home games, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games overall, and 2-5-1 against the spread in their last eight games against a team with a winning record. Alabama is 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games overall, 1-4 against the spread in their last five games against Arkansas, and 1-5 against the spread in their last six games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. The home team has covered in six of the last eight meetings of these two.
The total is set at 132.5 and I see that being pretty close to the number but it should squeak over.