The Seattle Mariners return home to take on a struggling AL West opponent as the Los Angeles Angels come to town for a visit to play game one of their series. The Angels are -140 favorites over the Mariners with an over/under total set at 6.5.
The Seattle Mariners are one of the more surprising teams this season as they are in second place in the American League West and are playing solid enough baseball to show that they can be a factor this season. The Mariners are 18-15 at home this season, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and a game and half behind the Texas Rangers in the division. As a team Seattle is hitting .234 led by Adam Kennedy hitting .282, Brendan Ryan is hitting .260, Ichiro Suzuki is hitting .258, and Justin Smoak is hitting .252. As a staff the Mariners’ pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 with the starters at 3.36 and the bullpen coming in at 3.56. For game one against the Angels Seattle looks to Jason Vargas to take the hill for the start. For the season Vargas has allowed 79 hits and 36 earned runs while striking out 52 over 82.1 innings of work on the mound.
The Los Angeles Angels are team who had big expectations for this season but thus far they have fallen very short and aren’t looking like they are going to be a factor this year. The Angels are 2-8 in their last 10 games, 16-16 on the road, and five games back in the American League West. As a team Los Angeles is hitting .248 with Howie Kendrick hitting .306, Erick Aybar hitting .295, Bobby Abreu hitting .291, and Alberto Callespo hitting .285. As a team the Angels pitching staff has an ERA of 3.45 with the starters at 3.43 and the bullpen at 3.50. For game one at Safeco Field Los Angeles starts Dan Haren who has lost two of his last three starts. For the season Haren has allowed 75 hits and 25 earned runs while striking out 80 in 93.1 innings of work.
Seattle is 4-1 in their last five against the AL West, 9-3 in their last 12 home games, and 4-1 in Vargas’ last five starts. Los Angeles is 3-8 in their last 11 road games, 0-5 in their last five games against a left handed starter, and 4-1 in Haren’s last five starts against a team with a winning record. Los Angeles is 39-18 in the last 57 meetings of these two.
We have an agressive total here to the under but with these two teams geared towards defense and low scoring games, that’s what I see this being. Take the under 6.5 runs here.